Vols and 'Dores duke it out in pivotal SEC clash

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/09/2010 - Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 12th-ranked Tennessee Volunteers will take on the 22nd-ranked Vanderbilt Commodores this evening with an SEC battle and state bragging rights on the line.

Tennessee has won its last three games to move to 18-4 overall and 6-2 in conference. On Saturday, the Vols were completely dominant in a 79-53 romp over South Carolina, and they have held their last three opponents to 60 or fewer points. Of the 18 wins that Tennessee has recorded thus far, only three have come in true road games.

Losses in two of the last three games have dropped the Vanderbilt Commodores to 17-5 overall and 6-2 in conference action. On Saturday, the club fell to Georgia by a 72-58 final on the road, but there is obvious reason for confidence tonight considering an 11-0 home record.

Vanderbilt beat Tennessee, 85-76, two weeks ago, but the Vols still own a 108-68 advantage in the all-time series.

Scotty Hopson continues to pace Tennessee in scoring with 13.2 ppg on the strength of his 41.1 percent shooting from three-point range. Wayne Chism, who has been the team's top point producer in three consecutive outings, checks in with 13.0 ppg and 7.0 rpg, and the Vols are generating 77.0 ppg while allowing a mere 63.9 ppg on 38.7 percent shooting. Tennessee has forced 398 turnovers while committing only 280 giveaways, an obvious key to success. Chism scored 30 points against South Carolina on Saturday, as he shot 11-of-17 from his center position. Both Hopson and Bobby Maze added 11 points for the Vols, who limited the Gamecocks to 27.6 percent shooting. A 44-37 rebounding advantage also helped the cause, as did a 19-14 edge in points from the foul line and a low total of six turnovers.

Vanderbilt is generating 78.0 ppg this season, and the club is holding its opponents to 68.2 ppg on 40.8 percent field goal efficiency. There are four double-digit scorers in the fold for the Commodores, and Jermaine Beal leads the way with 14.4 ppg. A.J. Ogilvy checks in with 13.5 ppg and 6.2 rpg, and Jeffery Taylor provides 13.3 ppg on his 52.3 percent shooting from the floor. John Jenkins adds 10.4 ppg off the bench for Vandy, which was grossly outplayed by Georgia on Saturday. The Commodores connected on only 32.8 percent of their field goal attempts and were outrebounded by a 43-28 margin. They permitted the Bulldogs to shoot 53.2 percent from the floor, including 66.7 percent in the decisive second half.

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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

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